Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.743332 0.869189 1.009678 1.178119 1.374619 1.596658 1.866700
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.550571 0.719632 0.930017 1.211079 1.576935 2.037417 2.661809
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.437539 0.619478 0.864244 1.217635 1.715264 2.391928 3.383923
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.358530 0.541622 0.804011 1.207478 1.813018 2.689649 4.058760
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.302530 0.483347 0.757002 1.201318 1.905888 2.982531 4.758442
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.263644 0.442816 0.727511 1.212759 2.020974 3.317015 5.561671
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.222477 0.391121 0.671260 1.170388 2.039824 3.496739 6.134854
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.209987 0.385058 0.688049 1.250463 2.271532 4.053450 7.415446
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.181569 0.346359 0.642726 1.214362 2.293187 4.248861 8.083501
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.157029 0.310912 0.597867 1.171739 2.295089 4.405765 8.697280
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.137193 0.281404 0.559716 1.135741 2.303057 4.572136 9.347283
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.125675 0.266600 0.547607 1.148532 2.407158 4.934141 10.429202
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.121436 0.266506 0.565482 1.226278 2.657161 5.625274 12.296653
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.113576 0.257689 0.564447 1.264722 2.831363 6.186602 13.976488
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.103959 0.243546 0.550053 1.271867 2.938182 6.618304 15.433087
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.094177 0.227528 0.529223 1.261280 3.002994 6.964963 16.743561
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.085854 0.213683 0.511358 1.254848 3.076078 7.338859 18.169035
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.079639 0.204006 0.501829 1.266798 3.194258 7.831999 19.949767
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.070785 0.186478 0.471157 1.222540 3.168418 7.977863 20.891476
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.069840 0.189043 0.490172 1.306179 3.476237 8.980846 24.155895
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.062743 0.174395 0.463793 1.268471 3.464659 9.178787 25.342919
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.056113 0.160053 0.436299 1.223952 3.428770 9.309131 26.367148
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.050503 0.147734 0.412548 1.186352 3.406562 9.472744 27.507042